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World Energy Outlook 2024

22/10/2024
world-energy-outlook

Recently a report namely “World Energy Outlook 2024 “ was published by the International Energy Agency which outlines the group’s perception on group’s perception on energy trends. This report represents a valuable tool to grasp the future of energy security, emission, and economic growth.

Key Findings:

  1. Renewable Energy Surge: It makes special emphasis about the increase in the renewable power investment data, where the global clean energy investment is reaching nearly $2 trillion. This is nearly double the sum invested in the new coal, oil and the associated supply. This trend, of solar and wind power in particular, is good news in the effort to transition to a more sustainable source of energy.
  2. Reduction in Fossil Fuels: There has been considerable decline in the reliance on fossil fuel generated power supply. For example, in Australia, there has been a two-fold increase of low-emissions electricity generation in the period 2018/23. The same trend is observed on the international level, and the investments in renewable energy projects were rising.
  3. Electricity Demand Growth: According to this report, India is expected to be the third largest electricity consumer by 2050, with over 4% annual rise of consumption. The consumption of electricity in emerging markets and developing economies (EMDEs) is also expected to grow because EMDEs’ citizens are likely to own more appliances and they are likely to own EVs too.
  4. Age of Electricity: According to the report, the human civilization has begun a new age labelled as the “Age of Electricity”. This shift is supported by clean sources of energy such as the solar and wind that has become a major driver of generation.
  5. Global Gas Glut: While the consumption of fresh gas has increased, the present global market has a capacity excess of renewable energy sources due to the increase in energy demands. This also has both implications and risks for energy markets as well as policy makers.

Implications:

  • Energy Security: By moving to renewable energy sources it is expected to improve energy security through reducing the reliance on fossils and exploring other sources of energy.
  • Emissions Reduction: The change in focus to clean energy is expected to lower carbon emission levels greatly helping the world to address the issue of climate change.
  • Economic Development: Purchases in renewable sources of power and progression of the electric generation are expected to spurn the economic progress particularly in the EMDEs.

The analysis of the outlook document, reveals that the world truly needs to invest in renewable energy and especially the policies for transformation to a sustainable energy. The analysis proves beneficial for governments, companies and consumers to have a perspective on the changing energy scenario. Also it has identified several issues that should be solved for the sustainable and safe development of energy systems. These issues range from geopolitical perspective to technologies’ perspective and illustrate the nature of the energy transformation process.

Energy Security

Energy security is a major concern for countries and the global society as the focus is made on free and clean energy sources. The predictability and dependability of energy supply becomes a concern. The shift to renewable energy sources must be backed by a reliable and continuous access to materials like lithium, cobalt, and rare earths to be used in renewable technologies including battery systems and electric vehicles respectively. The problem of providing access to these minerals without worsening relations between countries is a major one.

Geopolitical Tensions

This is the fact, because political relations in the context of world geography processes reliably influence the energy situation all over the world. The views and interests of regional and national players can hinder the global energy agenda and therefore have an effect on the volatility of energy markets. According to the prerequisites of the work, the share of risks is devoted to the need for international cooperation to achieve a stable and predictable environment in the energy sector.

Climate Action and Regional Disparities

Even though the world has united to take climate action, the manner and the extent of the action differ in one region from another. Such differences can negatively impact the fight against carbon emissions by affecting the development of climate change fight strategies. The report reveals the gaps in regional climate policies thus the requirement for policies and cooperation to achieve central goals.

Material Externality and Employment Shift

Climate change transition consequently imposes economic risks and yet it is inevitable to get to a low carbon economy. Elimination of fossil fuels causes loss of employment opportunities in the sectors that are related to energy business. It means attention to the needs of currently affected workers through opportunities for skill acquisition or upgrading as well as fair transition.

Impact of tech Notability on the Increase and Reach

Technological developments are thus racing at a very fast pace to ensure that global energy transformation becomes a reality. But there are questions whether these new technologies are affordable and available in the developing countries. This is why it has been deemed pertinent for all geographic zones to be capable of experiencing the rates of technology to achieve global energy objectives.

Cyber security Risks

Correspondingly, it may be mentioned that in the course of increasing digitalization of energy systems, there is a rising threat of cyber-attacks. Equipping the energy infrastructure to prevent and counter cyber risks is pertinent to energy security. According to the report, there should be an increase in preventive measures to maintain the security of the energy systems.

Policy regulation

The need to ensure comprehensive policies and regulations that will promote the energy transformation has been observed in the report as well. Unfavourable policies and regimes and rift in the policy can hamper investment and stifles development. There is a list of factors that can explain why both generation capacities and efficiency of the renewable energy sources are still rather low: Clear and stable policy signals are crucial for investment in renewable energy and related technologies.

Therefore, the World Energy Outlook 2024 offers an overview of the problem bid and concerns related to transition in the energy sector on the global level. To overcome these challenges, interdisciplinary approaches including government and industry collaborations and support from global organizations to help bring about a secure, sustainable and fair energy future.

India’s and GEO-2024

World Energy Outlook 2024, published by the International Energy Agency (IEA) containing a detailed comparative analysis of the energy prospect of different countries with an emphasis on India. India is presented as a fast-growing economy that set ambitious targets when it comes to the share of clean energy in its energy mix and faces not insignificant challenges when it comes to providing the country with secure supplies of energy whilst maintaining the ecological balance.

High Economic Growth and Energy Requirement

India's economy has been identified as one of the fastest growing in the world, with an estimated growth rate of 7.8% for 2023. The gross domestic product (GDP) rise has triggered energy demand which placed India third largest electricity consumer by 2050. Even in the worst-case, the report estimated that India’s electricity demand would increase more than 4% a year owing to escalating ownership of appliances and access to EVs.

Clean Energy Investments

India has committed heavily to renewable energy, primarily to the construction of solar and wind power plants and projects within the nation. The report also demonstrates that India has boosted its investments in clean energy in recent years as a result of the growing objectives for clean energy. This has raised the tendency towards renewable energy which is vital for India’s plan to minimizing carbon emissions and be in par with climate change pledges.

Coal's Continued Role

Even today, it possesses a large stake in Indian energy because of its continuing investments in clean energy. The report also indicates that coal will remain dominant in India energy mix through planned expansion of coal based generation capacity as well as expansion of industrial use of coal. This reliance on coal therefore poses a problem to India as it tries to walk the line between economic development and environmental conservation.

Energy Security and Critical Minerals

Energy security is a critical concern globally and more so for India in the context of energy transition. This is based on elements of the report relying on assured access to critical minerals that include lithium and cobalt necessary for renewable technologies. The extent to which India will be able to source these minerals will determine its success in the clean energy transition.

Regional disparity and Policy Challenges

According to the features of the report, there is a discussion on the necessity of the policy intervention to overcome these disparities and improve the accessibility to the energy to all parts of the country. Moreover, regulatory fluctuation and unstable polices act as the major threat to the investors in renewable energy business – a hindrance to India’s clean energy initiatives.

International Management and Cooperation

There is also the same international organizational affiliation and engagement that defines Indian energy status. The report calls for India to play an active role in the international climate processes and the country’s pledge of reducing its carbon footprint to net-zero by 2070. Multilateral cooperation with the other countries will be inevitable for overcoming global energy obstacles and for developing sustainable future.

Consequently, India's ranking in the World Energy Outlook 2024 accurately reflects its current energy landscape—characterized by rapid economic growth, an ambitious renewable energy target, and the challenge of achieving an optimal balance between energy security and environmental stewardship. This study can be useful for policymakers, business, and other stakeholders for planning and intervention to shape India’s energy future and a sustainable global energy system.

International Energy Agency (IEA).

The International Energy Agency (IEA) is an autonomous, international organisation with its headquarters in Paris which was founded in 1974. It was established in reaction to the oil shock of 1973 for the main objective of making certain that its member nations and the rest of the world get consistent, cheap, and clean energy. The IEA has 31 member countries mainly from the OECD and collaborates with member and non-member countries and other international organisations.

Objectives and Functions

The IEA’s purpose is to advance energy security, international economic growth and environmental well-being. It does it by:

  • Policy Recommendations: To assist its member countries in the attainment of their energy and climate goals, the IEA offers policy recommendations.
  • Data and Analysis: The agency gathers and disseminates energy statistics from across the globe providing useful information about current and emerging trends in energy systems.
  • Emergency Response: In matters of supply disruptions, the IEA co-ordinates cooperative activities so that member countries have access to the emergency oil stocks.
  • Clean Energy Initiatives: The IEA furthers clean energy by conducting research, analysis and providing guidance and policy recommendations on renewable energy, energy efficiency, and other clean technologies

Key Areas of Focus

The IEA focuses on several key areas to address global energy challenges:

  • Energy Security: Security and reliability of energy supply is a key mandate for the IEA. It involves surveillance of the global energy markets, evaluation of associated risks and formulation of energy policy measures that will improve energy security.
  • Climate Change: The IEA is on the frontline in providing support for efforts to mitigate climate change across the world. It offers research and recommendations on how countries can cut emissions of greenhouse gases and move to green economy.
  • Energy Efficiency: Energy intensity is another special area of interest in the IEA. The agency supports policy, measures and initiatives to improve the efficiency of energy use in buildings, industry and transport.
  • Clean Energy Technologies: IEA promotes the use of clean energy technologies as cleaner and sustainable technologies covering renewables like solar energy, wind energy and hydrogen.

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