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Why will India’s foreign policy be a tightrope walk

02/01/2025
india-foreign-policy

Navigating the intricate landscape of international relations has always been a complex task for any nation, and India is no exception. Yet, in the current world system, Indian foreign policy has emerged as an especially fine diplomacy. Several essential factors define this phenomenon while ranging from geopolitical to internal economic and political realities.

Political Change and Global Influence Play

Another reason as to why for the foreseeable future, India’s foreign policy will always remain a balancing act is the emerging global strategic environment. The rise of China in region brings a seemingly revolutionary shift of power in relation to Asia. Border issues, influence both in the Indian Ocean region and geo-political relationships with other countries all put India in a strategic confrontation with China.

Also, the friendly relation between the US and China has decussate because of the profound difference in their economy, social policies, and general political systems. India has endeavoured to improve its strategic cooperation with the United States since the latter is viewed as an antidote to China’s rise. Though reciprocity with America could stabilize and cement a strong bond needed to counterbalance growing Chinese influence, it could also annoy the potential Asian superpower and knock it off-balance.

The Russia-Ukraine Conflict

The crisis in this region, which is the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, creates an additional concern for the Indian foreign policy. India for the longest time has had a good relationship with Russia dating back to the Cold War. Russia is still a primary Defense equipment partner for India. But the war that Russia waged in Ukraine is internationally condemned and here India is between the rock and a hard place. Backing Russia had the potential of angering western partners, while criticizing Russia could harm a strategic partnership that has existed for some time.

Regional tensions in case of South Asia

South Asia itself is a region of conflict and India being the biggest country and the most influential country in the region has it all. The hostility with Pakistan continues mainly the issue of Kashmir, which means that India has to be cautious when it comes to its interaction diplomatically and militarily. Similarly, India also controls relations with the other neighbouring country such as Nepal, Sri Lanka and Bangladesh while China is also closely following its meet.

Economic Considerations

As India’s economy grows it needs a foreign policy that will encourage free trade relations and stability in the energy sector. As is already known the country is one of the biggest importers of oil, thus, relations with Middle Eastern countries should be stable. At the same time, India has to look for sources of energy other than the ones that come from volatile regions, it has to invest in renewable sources of energy.

Further, driving India to be a manufacturing icon from a Developing nation depends on Foreign Direct Investments. This requires maintaining a stable and predictable foreign policy that reassures potential investors. Thus enforcing nationalism could place the Indian interests against the policies and actions of other countries in order to balance the demand for economic growth.

Domestic Political Pressures

Bearing this in mind it is also important to note that domestic politics also has a major role to play when it comes to determining India’s foreign policy. The current govt has to consider favourably or unfavourably on global acts and operation as per the sentiments of Indian public. Nationalist emotions, which have been on the increase recently, can demand more assertive policies, including with regards to borders with neighbouring countries. But very often, it undermines them on the international level where it is often necessary to negotiate and wait patiently for the result.

Multilateral Relations and Global Concerns

Regarding the issues of international relations, they called for a comprehensive approach to the work with the UN, BRICS and G20. What this all means is that as India desires a larger voice on the international stage it must work out the very different set of agendas that other members of these organizations have. Topics like climate change, cyber security and global health which demand multilateralism formulate the difficulties of India foreign policy.

India’s Foreign Policy: Managing in a Complex Environment

India's foreign policy has been a dynamic and evolving narrative, shaped by its history, geography, economic ambitions, and the ever-changing global order. India being the largest democracy of the world and an emerging economic super power its external policies are more realistic and progressive.

Historical Context and the Non-Aligned Movement

India’s foreign policy history began after India became independent. Thus, after gaining independence India chose not to openly align with either America or Soviet Union during cold war years with PM Jawahar Lal Nehru ahead of it. This principle of non-alignment helped in to retain independence in international relations and free to interact with most numbers of countries without influenced from ‘hegemonic’ world powers.

Strategic Autonomy

India entered the twenty first century carrying forward its tradition of strategic independence. But this position has changed due to current global conditions. India is now more ready to build strategic partnerships and alliances with countries both with the major powers such as United States, Russia, and China as well as the other small countries. This approach is however meant at trying to maximize its strategic position of freedom with minimal dependencies.

Relations with Major Powers

India and United States have experienced rapid advancements in their relation in the last two decades. Although the two democracies have their differences the interests of both are in many ways coming closer on issues such as counter terrorism, Defense or economic realms. It is noteworthy that recently signed the civil nuclear deal between India and the US, the establishment of the quad referring to the security dialogue between the US, Japan, Australia and India are indicative of growing India-US relation.

At the same time, India keeps having a good cooperative partnership with Russia, its strategic partner. The military partnership has continued to be the hallmark of this relationship because Russia is one of India’s main sources of arms and ammunition. The strategic partnership is thus kept alive by the historical and operational ties as well as by mutual interests in managing a new multipolar world order even as there are differences of opinion or policy from time to time.

On the same note, China poses benefits and threats to India in terms of FDI. China can be seen as partner as well as competitor in a growing number of fields, which are involved in a symbiotic as well as cutthroat relationship. This aspect complicates the relationship because borders and the varying regional interest differ one with another. India has kept a two prong strategy regarding china that involves openness and preparation for a confrontation.

World Trade

Therefore, trade strategy is central to India’s concept of foreign policy diplomacy. The growing economy of India needs ‘voice’ to make its presence in the global market feel through exportation, foreign investment and energy requirements. This strategy includes engagement of multilateral trade arrangements and entities such as WTO and the BRICS.

In recent years, India has also pivoted towards enhancing its presence in the Indo-Pacific region. This shift is reflected by the Act East policy that seeks to enhance the economic and strategic cooperation with the countries of South East Asia. Even, the International Solar Alliance and the Coalition for Disaster Resilient Infrastructure are some of the examples which speak about India’s active approach in the attainment of sustainable and resilient future.

Challenges in India’s Foreign Policy

The India foreign policy has changed dynamically over the decades due to dynamic characteristics of the country as regional and world power. But this journey is associated with many risks or challenges:

Continuation Of geopolitical Rivalries and regional Stability

The first major concern is geopolitical tensions that are especially with countries such as China. The fact that threats persist with regard to the border issues and incipient strategic rivalry that means assertiveness and diplomacy must be balanced. The rise of China's Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) and its increasing influence in South Asia and beyond pose direct and indirect challenges to India's strategic interests.

Strategically, India needs to build its partnership relations as well as regional cooperation. Driving cooperation through international partnerships with countries such as US, Japan, Australia and India through the formation of Quadrilateral Security Dialogue or ‘the Quad’ can offer conventional strategic check to China. Also, closer participation in regional bodies like ASEAN and BIMSTEC and supporting stability in the neighbourhood can also assist in influencing stability.

Economic Relations and Trade Relations

Another issue is India’s economic interdependencies in energy supply and trade relations. Being an importer of oil, its stability depends on fluctuations of the world market and its successful cooperation with the countries exporting oil. In addition, the disruptions in the global supply chain like in the time of COVID-19 pandemic have revealed weaknesses in the position of the India’s trade strategies.

Reliance on a single energy type and failure to invest in renewable energy sources exposes India to unfavourable regions. It can also enhance the prospects of having a diverse and well-fostered trade framework through intensification of economic diplomacy and bilateral and multilateral trade cooperation with several countries. The ‘Make in India’ policy for promoting domestic production can add and improve the degree of dependency for the country.

Terrorism and cross border threats

An important factor is that modern India still has numerous security threats connected with terrorism and threats from across its western border, being Pakistan. The case of Kashmir and terrorist activities has times and again affected the bilateral relations of the two countries and stability in the region.

The present jihadist threats area critical as merits observed in counter-terrorism measures, intelligence sharing, and international cooperation. Diplomatic efforts to isolate state-sponsored terrorism on global platforms can also help garner international support. Consistent with confidence-building measures and discussions with Pakistan as well as military readiness, are also important to sustain the long-term stability.

Political Pressure and Public Opinion

Domestic politics can influence foreign policy greatly. Nationalist instincts, electoral calculations, and popular feeling may well produce bad policies from the overall strategic point of view. It is always a task to meet domestic politic demands and diplomatic initiatives to the countries of the world.

International relations—the goal of foreign policy—can be served well when public opinion is informed, and either supportive or at least in harmony with policy goals. It is thus important to contribute to framing of informed debates and discussions in order to increase voice of the populace on the foreign policy issues. Ensuring that foreign policy decisions are guided by long-term national interests rather than immediate political gains is essential for sustained international credibility.

International multilateral engagement

India cannot afford to ignore its interactions with the multilateral organizations including United Nations, WTO, and climate forums. However, non-identical goals and objectives among member nations may lead to problems in coalition formation and negotiation in these forums for promotion of India’s cause.

India should remain an active member or a partner of the multilateral organizations and should continue promoting the reforms corresponding to the modern world. It is therefore important for countries to form some alliances that would work together in furthering of various objectives. There is also scope for further active participation in global processes and challenges that require global response like climate change, cyber-security threats, and disease control, which, in turn, can strengthen India’s position as a leader in the global community.

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